Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Rincon
Team pages: Zsombor Piros · Daniel Rincon
Prediction summary
Winner
Zsombor Piros
Daniel Rincon
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Zsombor Piros
7-3 (W-L)
Daniel Rincon
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zsombor Piros
3–1
Daniel Rincon
(4 last)
- 02 May2-0 13-8W
- 08 Apr2-1 17-17W
- 24 Sept2-0 13-10W
- 18 Jul1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zsombor Piros 1637 · Daniel Rincon 1512
| Zsombor Piros | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zsombor Piros (rating 1637 vs 1512).
- Zsombor Piros is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Zsombor Piros 3–1 Daniel Rincon (4).
Statistics
| Zsombor Piros | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.6 | 14.4-14.5 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Zsombor Piros 3 – 1 Daniel Rincon (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zsombor Piros 3–1 Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/25 Challenger Ostrava | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/04/25 Challenger Madrid | 2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 24/09/24 Challenger Lisbon | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/07/24 Challenger Amersfoort | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zsombor Piros
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 11/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model gives 68% to Zsombor Piros, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.