Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Timofey Skatov
Team pages: Alex Barrena · Timofey Skatov
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Timofey Skatov
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
1-9 (W-L)
Timofey Skatov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Barrena
0–1
Timofey Skatov
(1 last)
- 22 Jun0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1478 · Timofey Skatov 1528
| Alex Barrena | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timofey Skatov (rating 1478 vs 1528).
- Head-to-head: Alex Barrena 0–1 Timofey Skatov (1).
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.6 | 11.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 31.5% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Alex Barrena 0 – 1 Timofey Skatov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Barrena 0–1 Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/26 Wimbledon | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Joao Domingues ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Anirudh Chandrasekar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Timofey Skatov?
Our model gives 59% to Timofey Skatov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.