Tennis · W75 Koksijde · 02/08, 11:30

Prediction: Martina Lo Pumo vs Ikumi Yamazaki

Team pages: Ikumi Yamazaki

Prediction summary
Winner
21% 79%
Martina Lo Pumo Ikumi Yamazaki
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Martina Lo Pumo 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLWLL
Ikumi Yamazaki 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Martina Lo Pumo 1395 · Ikumi Yamazaki 1505
Martina Lo PumoIkumi Yamazaki
Our model35%65%
Market10%90%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ikumi Yamazaki (rating 1395 vs 1505).
  • Ikumi Yamazaki is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Ikumi Yamazaki makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Martina Lo PumoIkumi Yamazaki
Win %10%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.81.2-1.3
Games (G-P)6.7-11.511.1-11.1
Aces0.40.9
Double faults2.35.8
1st serve %48.8%60.2%
Break %48%51.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Martina Lo Pumo

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Lisa Claeys
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 2-12 L
23/06 Marente Sijbesma
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
1-2 16-13 L
22/06 Jinte de Boer
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
16/06 Paula Ormaechea
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Marta Lombardini
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
31/05 Sofia Rocchetti
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
17/03 Arina Bulatova
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/10 Valeriia Iushchenko
ITF W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
07/09 Maia Sung
ITF W15 Dijon · Clay
1-2 10-10 L
19/08 Viola Bedini
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Ikumi Yamazaki

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Anouck Vrancken Peeters
W50 Knokke-Heist
1-2 10-13 L
11/07 Cheuk Ying Shek
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/07 Thasaporn Naklo
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
09/07 Seo Yun Choi
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 13-10 W
08/07 Xiaowei Li
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
02/07 Anna Snigireva
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/06 Ke Ren
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Aishi Das
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Hiromi Abe
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
14/06 Hikaru Sato
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 14-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Martina Lo Pumo vs Ikumi Yamazaki?

Our model gives 79% to Ikumi Yamazaki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.