Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 02/08, 15:30
Prediction: Nikolai Barsukov vs Mika Petkovic
Team pages: Nikolai Barsukov · Mika Petkovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolai Barsukov
Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolai Barsukov
4-6 (W-L)
Mika Petkovic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolai Barsukov 1480 · Mika Petkovic 1531
| Nikolai Barsukov | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Petkovic (rating 1480 vs 1531).
Statistics
| Nikolai Barsukov | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.3 | 11.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 48% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Filip Krolo M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Edison Ambarzumjan M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matteo Fondriest M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Felix Alopaeus Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Sander Jong Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Manvydas Balciunas Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolai Barsukov vs Mika Petkovic?
Our model gives 68% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.