Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 02/08, 12:30
Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Ivan Gakhov
Team pages: Thiago Monteiro · Ivan Gakhov
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Monteiro
Ivan Gakhov
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro
8-2 (W-L)
Ivan Gakhov
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Monteiro
0–1
Ivan Gakhov
(1 last)
- 17 May1-2 15-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1551 · Ivan Gakhov 1461
| Thiago Monteiro | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Monteiro (rating 1551 vs 1461).
- Thiago Monteiro is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Thiago Monteiro 0–1 Ivan Gakhov (1).
- Note: Ivan Gakhov makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Monteiro | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.6 | 10.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Thiago Monteiro 0 – 1 Ivan Gakhov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Monteiro 0–1 Ivan Gakhov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/25 ATP Geneva | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Monteiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Manuel Mazza Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Alberto Bronzetti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Flynn Thomas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Ivan Gakhov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/04 | Zangar Nurlanuly Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/04 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Menorca · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/04 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 17/03 | Christoph Negritu Challenger Murcia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Thionville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/02 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Lugano · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Ivan Gakhov?
Our model gives 73% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.