Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn · 04/08, 16:00
Prediction: Nicholas Patrick vs James McGloughlin
Team pages: James McGloughlin
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicholas Patrick
James McGloughlin
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicholas Patrick
6-4 (W-L)
James McGloughlin
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicholas Patrick 1523 · James McGloughlin 1477
| Nicholas Patrick | James McGloughlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicholas Patrick (rating 1523 vs 1477).
- Note: Nicholas Patrick makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Nicholas Patrick | James McGloughlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.5 | 9.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 7 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicholas Patrick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | William Freshwater UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Collin Beduhn UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Alberto Altur Fernandez UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Aryan Badlani UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/01 | Noah Becker UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/01 | Peter Nad UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/01 | Poonthong Komopisut UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 07/01 | Lukas Phimvongsa UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Kyran Magimay UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/01 | Jack Secord UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
James McGloughlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Niels Villard M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Dylan Davies UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/07 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Ondrej Valek UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Theo Coats UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Calin Teodor Stirbu UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sergio Ingles Garre UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicholas Patrick vs James McGloughlin?
Our model gives 52% to James McGloughlin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.