Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Magdalena Frech vs Qinwen Zheng
Team pages: Magdalena Frech · Qinwen Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Magdalena Frech
Qinwen Zheng
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Magdalena Frech
3-7 (W-L)
Qinwen Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Magdalena Frech
1–2
Qinwen Zheng
(3 last)
- 11 May0-2 5-12L
- 16 Aug0-2 6-13L
- 19 Jun2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magdalena Frech 1445 · Qinwen Zheng 1469
| Magdalena Frech | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Magdalena Frech 1–2 Qinwen Zheng (3).
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Magdalena Frech | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.6 | 11.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 9.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.5
Over 21.5: 67% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 33% · 1.80
H2H · Magdalena Frech 1 – 2 Qinwen Zheng (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magdalena Frech 1–2 Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/25 WTA Rome | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08/24 WTA Cincinnati | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/06/22 WTA Eastbourne | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magdalena Frech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Ann Li WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Eva Lys WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 27/05 | Jil Teichmann French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Talia Gibson WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Qinwen Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Maria Sakkari WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magdalena Frech vs Qinwen Zheng?
Our model gives 58% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.