Tennis · WTA Toronto · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Talia Gibson vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Team pages: Talia Gibson · Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Prediction summary
Winner
Talia Gibson
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Talia Gibson
3-7 (W-L)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Talia Gibson 1446 · Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1485
| Talia Gibson | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Talia Gibson makes many double faults (6.6/match).
- Note: Elisabetta Cocciaretto makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Talia Gibson | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 29% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-13.4 | 10.8-12.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Talia Gibson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Francesca Jones WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 07/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Yulia Putintseva French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Magdalena Frech WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Emma Navarro WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Iga Swiatek WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Emma Navarro WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Sinja Kraus WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/04 | Alycia Parks WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Talia Gibson vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
Our model gives 56% to Elisabetta Cocciaretto, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.