Tennis · ATP Montreal · 03/08, 17:00
Prediction: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalov
Team pages: Zachary Svajda · Denis Shapovalov
Prediction summary
Winner
Zachary Svajda
Denis Shapovalov
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
Zachary Svajda
4-6 (W-L)
Denis Shapovalov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zachary Svajda 1512 · Denis Shapovalov 1517
| Zachary Svajda | Denis Shapovalov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Denis Shapovalov makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Zachary Svajda | Denis Shapovalov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.1 | 11.5-12.6 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zachary Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Stefan Kozlov ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 30/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Liam Broady ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Denis Shapovalov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Marin Cilic ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Jaime Faria French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 07/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalov?
Our model gives 56% to Denis Shapovalov, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.