Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 22:30
Prediction: Darja Vidmanova vs Kayla Day
Team pages: Darja Vidmanova · Kayla Day
Prediction summary
Winner
Darja Vidmanova
Kayla Day
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Darja Vidmanova
8-2 (W-L)
Kayla Day
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Darja Vidmanova
1–0
Kayla Day
(1 last)
- 16 Oct2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darja Vidmanova 1579 · Kayla Day 1508
| Darja Vidmanova | Kayla Day | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darja Vidmanova (rating 1579 vs 1508).
- Head-to-head: Darja Vidmanova 1–0 Kayla Day (1).
Statistics
| Darja Vidmanova | Kayla Day | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.7 | 11.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 70% |
| Break % | 52% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.5
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 39% · 1.83
H2H · Darja Vidmanova 1 – 0 Kayla Day (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Darja Vidmanova 1–0 Kayla Day
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/25 ITF W100 Macon | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darja Vidmanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Sloane Stephens WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Sakura Hosogi W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Carolyn Ansari WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Kayla Day
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Erika Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Cadence Brace Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Mary Stoiana WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Jennifer Ruggeri W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Luisina Giovannini W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darja Vidmanova vs Kayla Day?
Our model gives 58% to Darja Vidmanova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.