Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 21:30
Prediction: Katie Volynets vs Sloane Stephens
Team pages: Katie Volynets · Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Katie Volynets
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Volynets
5-5 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Volynets 1576 · Sloane Stephens 1500
| Katie Volynets | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Volynets (rating 1576 vs 1500).
Statistics
| Katie Volynets | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 71% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.3 | 10.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.3
Over 20.5: 65% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 35% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Volynets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 12/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Kylie Collins WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Elizara Yaneva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Lisa Pigato French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Carol Young Suh Lee French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/04 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Volynets vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 64% to Katie Volynets, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.