Tennis · W15 Astana · 01/08, 09:00
Prediction: Daria Zelinskaya vs Victoria Milovanova
Team pages: Daria Zelinskaya · Victoria Milovanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Zelinskaya
Victoria Milovanova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Zelinskaya
5-5 (W-L)
Victoria Milovanova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Zelinskaya 1479 · Victoria Milovanova 1565
| Daria Zelinskaya | Victoria Milovanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoria Milovanova (rating 1479 vs 1565).
- Victoria Milovanova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daria Zelinskaya | Victoria Milovanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.3 | 11.6-7.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 64.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Zelinskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Xi Luo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Jiangxue Han W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Yanan Hou W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Yanan Hou W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Victoria Milovanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Aiya Nupbay W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Aiya Nupbay W15 Astana |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Lucie Pawlak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Sun Min Ha W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Livia Keller W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Zelinskaya vs Victoria Milovanova?
Our model gives 60% to Victoria Milovanova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.