Tennis · M15 Xativa · 31/07, 18:30

Prediction: Pedro Rodenas vs Carlos Lopez Montagud

Team pages: Pedro Rodenas · Carlos Lopez Montagud

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Pedro Rodenas Carlos Lopez Montagud
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Rodenas 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWLWW
Carlos Lopez Montagud 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLWW
Head-to-head
Pedro Rodenas 1–1 Carlos Lopez Montagud (2 last)
  • 23 Jul0-2 4-9L
  • 30 Jul2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pedro Rodenas 1567 · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1542
Pedro RodenasCarlos Lopez Montagud
Our model54%46%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Pedro RodenasCarlos Lopez Montagud
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.3-0.9
Games (G-P)11.9-8.911.2-9.8
Aces2.11.7
Double faults4.52.1
1st serve %66%66.6%
Break %49%49.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

H2H · Pedro Rodenas 11 Carlos Lopez Montagud (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Rodenas 11 Carlos Lopez Montagud

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DateSetsGamesRes.
23/07/25
M25 Denia
0-24-9L
30/07/23
M25 Denia
2-013-9W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pedro Rodenas

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Sergi Fita Juan
M15 Xativa
2-0 12-4 W
29/07 Marc Martin Roca
M15 Xativa
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Pavel Lagutin
M25 Denia
0-2 8-13 L
25/07 Reda Bennani
M25 Denia
2-0 12-6 W
24/07 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M25 Denia
2-0 12-7 W
23/07 Mario Arce Fernandez
M25 Denia
2-0 12-8 W
22/07 Sergi Fita Juan
M25 Denia
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M25 Gandia
0-2 7-12 L
03/07 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
02/07 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W

Carlos Lopez Montagud

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Mario Arce Fernandez
M15 Xativa
2-0 12-4 W
29/07 Esteban Talavera Cortes
M15 Xativa
2-0 12-7 W
25/07 Pavel Lagutin
M25 Denia
0-2 6-12 L
24/07 Hernan Casanova
M25 Denia
1-0 7-6 W
23/07 Carles Cordoba
M25 Denia
2-0 13-10 W
21/07 Anas Mazdrashki
M25 Denia
2-1 16-15 W
15/07 Luka Talan Lopatic
M25 Gandia
1-2 14-15 L
04/06 Alexandre Reco
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
1-2 10-13 L
02/06 Vito Antonio Darderi
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
11/05 Timofey Skatov
Challenger Valencia · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pedro Rodenas vs Carlos Lopez Montagud?

Our model gives 56% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.