Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn · 31/07, 16:00
Prediction: Chase Robinson vs Leo Pade
Team pages: Chase Robinson · Leo Pade
Prediction summary
Winner
Chase Robinson
Leo Pade
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Chase Robinson
2-8 (W-L)
Leo Pade
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chase Robinson 1419 · Leo Pade 1526
| Chase Robinson | Leo Pade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leo Pade (rating 1419 vs 1526).
- Leo Pade is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Chase Robinson | Leo Pade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-12.7 | 12.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 20.4% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chase Robinson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Thomas Kennedy UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Kayden Colombo UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Mitchell Lee UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Justin Riley Anson UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Ainius Sabaliauskas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Davis Wiley UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/12 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
Leo Pade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Parker Mariencheck UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Iker Urribarrens UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Yoshka Sborowsky UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Noey Do UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | William McEwan UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/01 | Claudio Renardi Lumanau ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/12 | Robin Eldin ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chase Robinson vs Leo Pade?
Our model gives 67% to Leo Pade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.