Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 31/07, 10:00
Prediction: Emma Lene vs Francesca Curmi
Team pages: Emma Lene · Francesca Curmi
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Lene
Francesca Curmi
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Lene
9-1 (W-L)
Francesca Curmi
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emma Lene
0–1
Francesca Curmi
(1 last)
- 04 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Lene 1621 · Francesca Curmi 1562
| Emma Lene | Francesca Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Lene (rating 1621 vs 1562).
- Head-to-head: Emma Lene 0–1 Francesca Curmi (1).
Statistics
| Emma Lene | Francesca Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-5.1 | 10.4-7.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 61.7% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
H2H · Emma Lene 0 – 1 Francesca Curmi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emma Lene 0–1 Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/24 ITF W50 Saint Palais Sur Mer | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Lene
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Laura Mair W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Gran Canaria |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Liv Boulard W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Sofia Montesinos Vilanova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Torino |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Ela Nala Milic W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Francisca Jorge W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Pia Lovric W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Xinxin Yao W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Fernanda Labrana W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Lene vs Francesca Curmi?
Our model gives 60% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.