Tennis · M25 Gentofte · 31/07, 11:00

Prediction: Aristotelis Thanos vs Eero Vasa

Team pages: Aristotelis Thanos · Eero Vasa

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Aristotelis Thanos Eero Vasa
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aristotelis Thanos 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLLWL
Eero Vasa 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aristotelis Thanos 1549 · Eero Vasa 1512
Aristotelis ThanosEero Vasa
Our model55%45%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Aristotelis Thanos makes many double faults (6.2/match).

Statistics

Aristotelis ThanosEero Vasa
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.3-1.1
Games (G-P)12.5-10.211.4-10.2
Aces3.63.8
Double faults6.22.6
1st serve %70.6%72.7%
Break %51.3%40.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aristotelis Thanos

WLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Nikola Slavic
M25 Gentofte
2-1 15-12 W
29/07 Jonathan Mridha
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Fons Van Sambeek
M25 The Hague
0-2 8-12 L
13/06 Niels McDonald
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L
12/06 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-1 15-9 W
11/06 Jonathan Mridha
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
10/06 John Hallquist Lithen
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
30/05 Denis Klok
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 15-16 L
29/05 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-10 W
28/05 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Eero Vasa

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Valdemar Frederik Pape
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-5 W
29/07 Rafael Ymer
M25 Gentofte
2-0 12-4 W
22/07 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/07 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
09/07 Sander Jong
M25 The Hague
0-2 7-12 L
07/07 Stan Put
M25 The Hague
2-0 12-8 W
03/07 Sean Cuenin
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
02/07 Amine Jamji
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
01/07 Yassine Smiej
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 17-12 W
24/06 Ognjen Milic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aristotelis Thanos vs Eero Vasa?

Our model gives 54% to Aristotelis Thanos, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.