Tennis · M25 Pitesti · 30/07, 09:00
Prediction: Francesco Ferrari vs Maximilian Borisov
Team pages: Francesco Ferrari · Maximilian Borisov
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Ferrari
Maximilian Borisov
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Ferrari
6-4 (W-L)
Maximilian Borisov
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Ferrari 1501 · Maximilian Borisov 1426
| Francesco Ferrari | Maximilian Borisov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesco Ferrari (rating 1501 vs 1426).
- Francesco Ferrari is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Francesco Ferrari | Maximilian Borisov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-8.8 | 7.1-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 75.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Sebastian Gima M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Massimo Giunta M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Ali Missoum M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Chepik M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Ghali Komat M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Reda Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Caheer Warik M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Denis Klok M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Maximilian Borisov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Matei Varbanciu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Federico Guarducci M25 Pitesti |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Obrad Markovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Gorazd Srbljak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/04 | Josh Manuel UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/04 | Karol Malirz UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Ilan Hediger UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Ferrari vs Maximilian Borisov?
Our model gives 76% to Francesco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.