Tennis · M15 Xativa · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: David Naharro vs Herman Hoeyeraal
Team pages: David Naharro · Herman Hoeyeraal
Prediction summary
Winner
David Naharro
Herman Hoeyeraal
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
David Naharro
4-6 (W-L)
Herman Hoeyeraal
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Naharro 1482 · Herman Hoeyeraal 1555
| David Naharro | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Herman Hoeyeraal (rating 1482 vs 1555).
- Herman Hoeyeraal dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 46.3% break avg.
- Herman Hoeyeraal is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Herman Hoeyeraal makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| David Naharro | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.1 | 11.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Naharro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Maximo Nagele M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kobierski M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Alvaro Jimenez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 21/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Benoit Torcq M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Jan Montero Diaz M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Vic |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Max Alcala Gurri M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Herman Hoeyeraal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Finn Bass Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Phoenix Weir Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Alan Wazny M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Naharro vs Herman Hoeyeraal?
Our model gives 65% to Herman Hoeyeraal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.