Tennis · W15 Bielsko Biala · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Chiara Fornasieri vs Oriana Gniewkowska
Team pages: Chiara Fornasieri · Oriana Gniewkowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Chiara Fornasieri
Oriana Gniewkowska
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Chiara Fornasieri
6-4 (W-L)
Oriana Gniewkowska
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chiara Fornasieri 1549 · Oriana Gniewkowska 1462
| Chiara Fornasieri | Oriana Gniewkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiara Fornasieri (rating 1549 vs 1462).
- Chiara Fornasieri is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Chiara Fornasieri | Oriana Gniewkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.1 | 8.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 50.8% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chiara Fornasieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/06 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Eva Maria Ionescu W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Laura Brunkel W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Meriem Ben Ezzedine Meriem W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Oriana Gniewkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Simona Wirglerova W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Annemarie Lazar W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Isabel Skoog W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Agnes Bang Kjaersgaard W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Amelia Paszun W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/02 | Amelia Paszun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Maria Golovina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chiara Fornasieri vs Oriana Gniewkowska?
Our model gives 70% to Chiara Fornasieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.