Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 30/07, 11:00

Prediction: Rina Saigo vs Angella Okutoyi

Team pages: Rina Saigo · Angella Okutoyi

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Rina Saigo Angella Okutoyi
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rina Saigo 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWLW
Angella Okutoyi 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rina Saigo 1501 · Angella Okutoyi 1547
Rina SaigoAngella Okutoyi
Our model43%57%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Angella Okutoyi (rating 1501 vs 1547).
  • Angella Okutoyi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Angella Okutoyi makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Rina SaigoAngella Okutoyi
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.6-0.8
Games (G-P)9.8-8.913-9.7
Aces1.12.2
Double faults25.5
1st serve %58.3%62.3%
Break %59.2%52.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rina Saigo

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Sophia Hurrion
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-1 W
19/07 Veronika Podrez
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/07 Victoria Bervid
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/07 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
12/07 Naoko Eto
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
09/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 10-12 L
07/07 Elyse Tse
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-6 W
17/06 Tiana Tian Deng
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
10/06 Ekaterina Maklakova
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
06/06 Yufei Ren
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Angella Okutoyi

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Kristina Paskauskas
W35 Aldershot
2-0 13-9 W
14/07 Indianna Spink
W50 Nottingham
1-2 13-14 L
06/07 Andreea Prisacariu
W100 Aschaffenburg
1-2 13-15 L
21/05 Madison Brengle
W50 Pelham · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
20/05 Elena-Teodora Cadar
W50 Pelham · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
11/01 Martina Colmegna
W35 Nairobi · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/01 Sandra Samir
W35 Nairobi · ~Clay
2-1 18-9 W
09/01 Isabella Shinikova
W35 Nairobi · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
08/01 Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz
W35 Nairobi · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
07/01 Saumya Vig
W35 Nairobi · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rina Saigo vs Angella Okutoyi?

Our model gives 53% to Angella Okutoyi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.