Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Brooke Black vs Emily Appleton
Team pages: Brooke Black · Emily Appleton
Prediction summary
Winner
Brooke Black
Emily Appleton
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Brooke Black
7-3 (W-L)
Emily Appleton
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brooke Black 1586 · Emily Appleton 1517
| Brooke Black | Emily Appleton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brooke Black (rating 1586 vs 1517).
- Emily Appleton dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 45.5% break avg.
- Brooke Black is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Emily Appleton makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Brooke Black | Emily Appleton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.7 | 10.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brooke Black
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Savannah Dada Mascoll W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Oceane Dodin W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Andre Lukosiute W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/12 | Emma Jackson UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 12/12 | Mia Slama UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/12 | Heidi Bulger UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/12 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/12 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/12 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Emily Appleton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Oceane Dodin W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Indianna Spink W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Peyton Stearns WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Harmony Tan WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Tegan Bush WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Naho Sato W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Mana Kawamura W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brooke Black vs Emily Appleton?
Our model gives 55% to Emily Appleton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.