Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Laura Pigossi vs Caroline Werner
Team pages: Laura Pigossi · Caroline Werner
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Pigossi
Caroline Werner
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Pigossi
6-4 (W-L)
Caroline Werner
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Laura Pigossi
2–1
Caroline Werner
(3 last)
- 31 Jan2-1 19-18W
- 18 Jun2-1 14-14W
- 13 May1-2 14-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Pigossi 1496 · Caroline Werner 1457
| Laura Pigossi | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Laura Pigossi 2–1 Caroline Werner (3).
Statistics
| Laura Pigossi | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-8.1 | 11.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Laura Pigossi 2 – 1 Caroline Werner (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Laura Pigossi 2–1 Caroline Werner
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 WTA Ostrava | 2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 18/06/25 W75 Blois | 2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/05/19 ITF W60 La Bisbal | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Pigossi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Polona Hercog W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Julia Riera W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Camila Rodero W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Caroline Werner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Gabriela Paun W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Alice Rame Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Pigossi vs Caroline Werner?
Our model gives 55% to Laura Pigossi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.