Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 30/07, 03:30
Prediction: Ymerali Ibraimi vs Chen Dong
Team pages: Ymerali Ibraimi · Chen Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Ymerali Ibraimi
Chen Dong
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ymerali Ibraimi
4-6 (W-L)
Chen Dong
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ymerali Ibraimi 1490 · Chen Dong 1450
| Ymerali Ibraimi | Chen Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ymerali Ibraimi (rating 1490 vs 1450).
Statistics
| Ymerali Ibraimi | Chen Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.4 | 7.5-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ymerali Ibraimi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 22/07 | Derek Pham M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Matthew Shearer M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Charlie Camus M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Oliver King UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/06 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Chen Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Sergey Petrov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Remy Dugardin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 26/12 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 25/12 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/12 | Florent Bax M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ymerali Ibraimi vs Chen Dong?
Our model gives 53% to Ymerali Ibraimi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.