Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 30/07, 04:00
Prediction: Harriet Dart vs Emma Dong
Team pages: Harriet Dart · Emma Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Harriet Dart
Emma Dong
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Harriet Dart
5-5 (W-L)
Emma Dong
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harriet Dart 1451 · Emma Dong 1576
| Harriet Dart | Emma Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Dong (rating 1451 vs 1576).
- Emma Dong is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Harriet Dart | Emma Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.4 | 11.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harriet Dart
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Kayla Cross WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Jelena Ostapenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Emma Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Valeria Savinykh WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Ena Shibahara WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 23/07 | Lilian Poling W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Mio Mushika W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lilian Poling W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Mariya Dobreva W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Alexia Jacobs UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harriet Dart vs Emma Dong?
Our model gives 54% to Harriet Dart, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.