Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 29/07, 16:00
Prediction: Rafael Tosetto vs Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
Team pages: Rafael Tosetto · Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Tosetto
Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Tosetto
5-5 (W-L)
Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rafael Tosetto
0–1
Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
(1 last)
- 17 Oct0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Tosetto 1489 · Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida 1520
| Rafael Tosetto | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Rafael Tosetto 0–1 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida (1).
- Note: Rafael Tosetto makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Rafael Tosetto | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.7 | 10.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Rafael Tosetto 0 – 1 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rafael Tosetto 0–1 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/22 ITF M25 Rio de Janeiro | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Tosetto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Matias Soto M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Gustavo Albieri M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Andre Souza Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Luiz Gusavo Felisberto M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Lucas Yunez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/06 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Samuel Heredia M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Tosetto vs Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida?
Our model gives 68% to Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.