Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 29/07, 17:30

Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas

Team pages: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWWL
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1575 · Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas 1483
Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezEnzo Kohlmann De Freitas
Our model63%37%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (rating 1575 vs 1483).
  • Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezEnzo Kohlmann De Freitas
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71.2-1.3
Games (G-P)11.3-8.612.3-12.3
Aces1.62.5
Double faults21.9
1st serve %69.9%66.2%
Break %48%39.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 10-13 L
24/07 Jose Pereira
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Nicolas Zanellato
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-4 W
22/07 Maximo Zeitune
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 16-16 W
19/07 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 4-12 L
18/07 Thiago Cigarran
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 13-9 W
17/07 Fermin Tenti
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Aditya Balsekar
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-3 W
07/07 Lucas Andrade da Silva
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Juan Estevez
M25 Sao Paulo
1-2 11-15 L
21/07 Conner Huertas Del Pino
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 19-17 W
14/07 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 7-12 L
10/07 Thiago Cigarran
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
1-2 16-16 L
07/07 Luis Jose Nakamine
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-3 W
25/06 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
1-2 15-18 L
15/06 Conner Huertas Del Pino
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
14/06 Natan Rodrigues
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Pedro Rodrigues
M15 Brasilia
1-2 13-14 L
10/06 Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha
M15 Brasilia
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas?

Our model gives 69% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.