Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 29/07, 17:30
Prediction: Tomas Jordi Leston vs Nicolas Villalon
Team pages: Tomas Jordi Leston · Nicolas Villalon
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Jordi Leston
Nicolas Villalon
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Jordi Leston
3-7 (W-L)
Nicolas Villalon
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Jordi Leston 1503 · Nicolas Villalon 1450
| Tomas Jordi Leston | Nicolas Villalon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Jordi Leston (rating 1503 vs 1450).
- Note: Nicolas Villalon makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Tomas Jordi Leston | Nicolas Villalon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.3 | 10.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Jordi Leston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Tadeo Meneo M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alex Santino Nunez Vera M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Santiago Pesino M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Valentino Grippo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Leonel Cesar Castro M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Benjamin Chelia M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 18/11 | Dante Pagani ITF M15 Olavarria · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 05/11 | Pedro Boscardin Dias ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Nicolas Villalon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Brandon Perez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Gonzalo Zeitune Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 02/06 | Mateus Alves M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/05 | Victor Braga Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Angel Veliz M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Jordi Leston vs Nicolas Villalon?
Our model gives 56% to Nicolas Villalon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.