Tennis · W15 Bielsko Biala · 29/07, 10:00

Prediction: Simona Wirglerova vs Oriana Gniewkowska

Team pages: Simona Wirglerova · Oriana Gniewkowska

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Simona Wirglerova Oriana Gniewkowska
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Wirglerova 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWLW
Oriana Gniewkowska 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Simona Wirglerova 1559 · Oriana Gniewkowska 1447
Simona WirglerovaOriana Gniewkowska
Our model66%34%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simona Wirglerova (rating 1559 vs 1447).
  • Simona Wirglerova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Simona Wirglerova makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Simona WirglerovaOriana Gniewkowska
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.80.8-1.6
Games (G-P)11.9-9.68.9-12
Aces21.1
Double faults43.7
1st serve %71%50.4%
Break %75%50.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Simona Wirglerova

WWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Tamara Sramkova
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 13-9 W
05/07 Georgia Andreea Craciun
UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
04/07 Anna Zyryanova
UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/07 Valentina Vachkova
UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Magdalena Smekalova
UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
30/06 Maja Pawelska
UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/06 Nikola Hlavata
UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
15/03 Vanesa Sulcova
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/03 Sophia Ksandinov
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
13/03 Julita Saner
UTR Pro Trnava Women · Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Oriana Gniewkowska

LLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Annemarie Lazar
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 11-12 W
20/07 Isabel Skoog
W35 Gentofte
0-2 8-13 L
19/07 Agnes Bang Kjaersgaard
W35 Gentofte
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Amelia Paszun
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
17/06 Alena Kovackova
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
10/03 Dune Vaissaud
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
03/02 Amelia Paszun
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
04/11 Sophia Ksandinov
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-12 L
16/10 Maria Golovina
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
15/10 Benedetta Ortenzi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Simona Wirglerova vs Oriana Gniewkowska?

Our model gives 61% to Simona Wirglerova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.