Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 29/07, 15:00
Prediction: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Mateus Alves
Team pages: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves · Mateus Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Mateus Alves
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
8-2 (W-L)
Mateus Alves
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
2–0
Mateus Alves
(2 last)
- 10 Oct2-0 12-4W
- 27 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1577 · Mateus Alves 1557
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mateus Alves dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 45% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 2–0 Mateus Alves (2).
Statistics
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.2 | 12-8.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 77% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 2 – 0 Mateus Alves (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 2–0 Mateus Alves
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/19 ITF M25 Rio de Janeiro | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06/19 ITF M15 Curitiba | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Matias Soto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Bastian Malla M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Brandon Perez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Andres Urrea Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Mateus Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/07 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Fons Van Sambeek Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Nicolas Villalon M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/05 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Mateus Alves?
Our model gives 65% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.