Tennis · M15 Xativa · 29/07, 09:00
Prediction: Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez
Team pages: Filippo Mazzola · Mario Arce Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Mazzola
Mario Arce Fernandez
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Mazzola
6-4 (W-L)
Mario Arce Fernandez
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Mazzola 1538 · Mario Arce Fernandez 1478
| Filippo Mazzola | Mario Arce Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filippo Mazzola (rating 1538 vs 1478).
Statistics
| Filippo Mazzola | Mario Arce Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.6 | 9.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Freddy Murray M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Adrien Burdet M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Alexey Dubinin M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mario Arce Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Denia |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez?
Our model gives 65% to Filippo Mazzola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.