Tennis · M15 Xativa · 29/07, 09:00
Prediction: Oriol Font vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Team pages: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Prediction summary
Winner
Oriol Font
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Oriol Font
3-7 (W-L)
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oriol Font 1459 · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1522
| Oriol Font | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento (rating 1459 vs 1522).
- Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oriol Font | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11.3 | 8.8-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oriol Font
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Kuzey Cekirge M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Darrshan Suresh M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Thomas Gerbaud M25 Vic |
1-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 04/05 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Janis Graski M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/03 | David Naharro M15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Daniel Uta M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/02 | Noah Perfetti M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Martins Rocens M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oriol Font vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento?
Our model gives 70% to Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.