Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 29/07, 02:00
Prediction: Natsuho Arakawa vs Rianna Alame
Team pages: Natsuho Arakawa · Rianna Alame
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuho Arakawa
Rianna Alame
Estimated games
18.6
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuho Arakawa
3-7 (W-L)
Rianna Alame
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuho Arakawa 1517 · Rianna Alame 1551
| Natsuho Arakawa | Rianna Alame | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Natsuho Arakawa | Rianna Alame | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.7 | 10.1-5.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 62% |
| Break % | 25.8% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuho Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Maiko Uchijima W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Lily Fairclough W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefani Webb W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Yuka Matsumoto W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Mana Kawamura W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Yui Chikaraishi W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Rianna Alame
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Julie Adele Bedard W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Lucia Gale W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/06 | Destanee Aiava UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Isabella Crossman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ava-Monet Sycamore UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikita Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Escher Case-Boag UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Ayeesha Dowerah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/03 | Belle Thompson W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuho Arakawa vs Rianna Alame?
Our model gives 55% to Natsuho Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.