Tennis · W50 Dublin · 29/07, 11:00
Prediction: Eliz Maloney vs Amelia Rajecki
Team pages: Eliz Maloney · Amelia Rajecki
Prediction summary
Winner
Eliz Maloney
Amelia Rajecki
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Eliz Maloney
8-2 (W-L)
Amelia Rajecki
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eliz Maloney
1–0
Amelia Rajecki
(1 last)
- 13 Jul2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eliz Maloney 1540 · Amelia Rajecki 1467
| Eliz Maloney | Amelia Rajecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eliz Maloney (rating 1540 vs 1467).
- Eliz Maloney is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Eliz Maloney 1–0 Amelia Rajecki (1).
- Note: Amelia Rajecki makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Eliz Maloney | Amelia Rajecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.5 | 9.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Eliz Maloney 1 – 0 Amelia Rajecki (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eliz Maloney 1–0 Amelia Rajecki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/20 UK Tennis Series Women | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eliz Maloney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Laura Cilekova W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Chloe Collins W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Naiktha Bains W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Ciara Moore W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Sophie Bekker W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Esther Adeshina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Chahd Tourkhani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Amelia Rajecki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Suzan Lamens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Harmony Tan WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Aoi Ito WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Panna Bartha W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Julia Adams W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Kristina Novak W35 Nottingham |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/05 | Leticia Romanova W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/05 | Britt Du Pree W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Katy Dunne W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eliz Maloney vs Amelia Rajecki?
Our model gives 51% to Eliz Maloney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.