Tennis · W50 Dublin · 29/07, 11:00

Prediction: Chloe Noel vs Weronika Falkowska

Team pages: Chloe Noel · Weronika Falkowska

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Chloe Noel Weronika Falkowska
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Chloe Noel 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLWW
Weronika Falkowska 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chloe Noel 1583 · Weronika Falkowska 1568
Chloe NoelWeronika Falkowska
Our model52%48%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Chloe NoelWeronika Falkowska
Win %80%80%
Win % · Hard 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.7-0.7
Games (G-P)11.2-7.512.9-10.6
Aces4.23.2
Double faults2.73.7
1st serve %72%66.4%
Break %56.5%50.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chloe Noel

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Caterina Odorizzi
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-3 W
26/07 Olivia Gram
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Martyna Kubka
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 13-6 W
13/07 Stefaniya Pushkar
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-7 W
12/07 Polina Isakova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-2 W
09/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Matilde Jorge
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 15-14 W
06/07 Andre Lukosiute
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 16-12 W
05/07 Emilija Tverijonaite
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-5 W

Weronika Falkowska

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Hanne Vandewinkel
WTA Istanbul · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
14/07 Deniz Dilek
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
13/07 Varvara Panshina
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
12/07 Daria Zelinskaya
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/07 Eva Vedder
W75 The Hague
0-2 8-13 L
08/07 Carolina Alves
W75 The Hague
2-1 13-14 W
05/07 Anouck Vrancken Peeters
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
04/07 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
03/07 Alena Kovackova
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Francesca Pace
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chloe Noel vs Weronika Falkowska?

Our model gives 63% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.