Tennis · W50 Dublin · 29/07, 11:00

Prediction: Summer Yardley vs Weronika Ewald

Team pages: Summer Yardley · Weronika Ewald

Prediction summary
Winner
21% 79%
Summer Yardley Weronika Ewald
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Summer Yardley 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLLWWLW
Weronika Ewald 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Summer Yardley 1453 · Weronika Ewald 1530
Summer YardleyWeronika Ewald
Our model39%61%
Market6%94%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Ewald (rating 1453 vs 1530).
  • Weronika Ewald is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Summer Yardley makes many double faults (7.1/match).
  • Note: Weronika Ewald makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Summer YardleyWeronika Ewald
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.4-1
Games (G-P)8.4-11.912.2-11.9
Aces2.43.2
Double faults7.16
1st serve %54.2%65.1%
Break %39.9%50.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Summer Yardley

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Coco Bosman
W50 Dublin
2-0 14-12 W
26/07 Yelizaveta Trush
W50 Dublin
2-1 17-12 W
12/07 Georgiana Mititelu
W50 Nottingham
1-2 12-15 L
07/07 Georgina Hays
W35 Don Benito
1-2 11-12 L
30/06 Tasnim Ismail
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Matilde Mariani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 6-14 L
17/06 Sarra Attig
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Martyna Kubka
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
09/06 Elizaveta Rozhkova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
01/06 Savannah Broadus
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 0-12 L

Weronika Ewald

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Polish National Championships Women
0-2 11-14 L
15/07 Daria Gorska
Polish National Championships (W)
2-0 13-8 W
06/07 Tina Manescu
W100 Aschaffenburg
1-2 11-16 L
27/06 Gina Feistel
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
26/06 Barbora Palicova
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-1 13-16 W
25/06 Amelia Paszun
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
24/06 Miriam Bulgaru
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
19/06 Julie Pastikova
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
18/06 Maja Pawelska
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
17/06 Magdalena Baniak
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Summer Yardley vs Weronika Ewald?

Our model gives 79% to Weronika Ewald, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.