Tennis · W50 Dublin · 29/07, 11:00
Prediction: Valentina Ryser vs Micol Salvadori
Team pages: Valentina Ryser · Micol Salvadori
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Ryser
Micol Salvadori
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Ryser
8-2 (W-L)
Micol Salvadori
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Ryser 1554 · Micol Salvadori 1460
| Valentina Ryser | Micol Salvadori | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Ryser (rating 1554 vs 1460).
- Valentina Ryser is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Valentina Ryser makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Micol Salvadori makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Ryser | Micol Salvadori | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.4 | 8.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Ryser
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Maria Golovina W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Viktoria Hruncakova W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Martyna Kubka W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Victoria Allen W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Demi Tran W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kristina Mladenovic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alana Smith WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
Micol Salvadori
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Viktoria Veleva W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Marina Tawdrws W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Diana Ilie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Nikola Daubnerova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Giulia Alessia Monteleone W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/05 | Sina Herrmann W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 06/05 | Verena Meliss W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Ryser vs Micol Salvadori?
Our model gives 80% to Valentina Ryser, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.