Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 30/07, 09:00
Prediction: Theo Papamalamis vs Noah Karma
Team pages: Theo Papamalamis · Noah Karma
Prediction summary
Winner
Theo Papamalamis
Noah Karma
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Theo Papamalamis
7-3 (W-L)
Noah Karma
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theo Papamalamis 1532 · Noah Karma 1489
| Theo Papamalamis | Noah Karma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Papamalamis (rating 1532 vs 1489).
Statistics
| Theo Papamalamis | Noah Karma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.6 | 11-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theo Papamalamis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Oskari Paldanius M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lars Aregger M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Nicolas Parizzia Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Noah Karma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Sacha Grandvincent M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Thomas George Brun M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Tanguy Genier M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Justin Schlageter M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Matteo Covato M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Mili Poljicak M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ryo Tabata M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 26/05 | Simon Knezevic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Maxime Chazal M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theo Papamalamis vs Noah Karma?
Our model gives 67% to Theo Papamalamis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.