Tennis · M25 Edwardsville · 29/07, 15:00
Prediction: Sebastian Gorzny vs Maxwell Exsted
Team pages: Sebastian Gorzny · Maxwell Exsted
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gorzny
Maxwell Exsted
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gorzny
3-7 (W-L)
Maxwell Exsted
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gorzny 1521 · Maxwell Exsted 1493
| Sebastian Gorzny | Maxwell Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sebastian Gorzny | Maxwell Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.3 | 11.3-12 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gorzny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Borna Gojo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Gavin Young Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Landon Ardila M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Joshua Sheehy M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Blake Ellis M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Maxwell Exsted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Benjamin Berger M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Claverie M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Theodore Dean M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Tanishk Konduri M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Vit Kalina M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Miles Jones M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/03 | Gianluca Brunkow M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gorzny vs Maxwell Exsted?
Our model gives 66% to Sebastian Gorzny, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.