Tennis · M15 Huamantla · 28/07, 17:00
Prediction: Rafael De Alba vs Gray Voelzke
Team pages: Rafael De Alba · Gray Voelzke
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael De Alba
Gray Voelzke
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael De Alba
1-9 (W-L)
Gray Voelzke
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael De Alba 1471 · Gray Voelzke 1427
| Rafael De Alba | Gray Voelzke | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rafael De Alba (rating 1471 vs 1427).
- Note: Gray Voelzke makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Rafael De Alba | Gray Voelzke | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-11.5 | 9.4-13.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 30.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael De Alba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nav Dayal M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Theodore Dean M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Gray Voelzke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Yuya Hirose M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 24/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Jake Dembo M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Udit Kamboj M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/05 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Alec Beckley M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael De Alba vs Gray Voelzke?
Our model gives 63% to Rafael De Alba, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.