Tennis · M25 Edwardsville · 28/07, 15:30
Prediction: Rohan Belday vs Hiroki Sakagawa
Team pages: Hiroki Sakagawa
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Prediction summary
Winner
Rohan Belday
Hiroki Sakagawa
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Rohan Belday
5-5 (W-L)
Hiroki Sakagawa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rohan Belday 1495 · Hiroki Sakagawa 1494
| Rohan Belday | Hiroki Sakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rohan Belday | Hiroki Sakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10 | 7.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 30.5% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rohan Belday
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11 | August Brostroem Poulsen UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/11 | Matthis Ross UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/11 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/11 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Jack Casciato UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Faiz Nasyam UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Petar Teodorovic UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Matthias Uwe Kask UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Luka Butera UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Hiroki Sakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tygen Goldammer M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Roshan Santhosh M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Constantinos Djakouris M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Roshan Santhosh M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 16/12 | Ilya Snitari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rohan Belday vs Hiroki Sakagawa?
Our model gives 66% to Hiroki Sakagawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.