Tennis · ATP Los Cabos · 30/07, 04:00
Prediction: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyer
Team pages: Francisco Cerundolo · Tristan Boyer
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Cerundolo
Tristan Boyer
Estimated games
26.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Cerundolo
5-5 (W-L)
Tristan Boyer
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Cerundolo 1548 · Tristan Boyer 1545
| Francisco Cerundolo | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan Boyer dominates on serve: 7 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Note: Francisco Cerundolo makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Cerundolo | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 83% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1.4 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.9-15 | 13.6-12 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 7 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +5
Over 21.5: 81% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 19% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Zachary Svajda French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-25 | L |
| 28/05 | Hugo Gaston French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 20-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Botic Van De Zandschulp French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 18/05 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Claverie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyer?
Our model gives 62% to Francisco Cerundolo, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.