Tennis · W15 Huamantla · 29/07, 17:30

Prediction: Agustina Soto Neira vs Mika Buchnik

Team pages: Agustina Soto Neira · Mika Buchnik

Prediction summary
Winner
23% 77%
Agustina Soto Neira Mika Buchnik
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Agustina Soto Neira 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLLL
Mika Buchnik 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Agustina Soto Neira 1448 · Mika Buchnik 1535
Agustina Soto NeiraMika Buchnik
Our model38%62%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Buchnik (rating 1448 vs 1535).
  • Mika Buchnik is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Mika Buchnik makes many double faults (9.7/match).

Statistics

Agustina Soto NeiraMika Buchnik
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.51.4-0.9
Games (G-P)7.1-9.811.2-8.8
Aces0.10.2
Double faults3.29.7
1st serve %54.5%60.4%
Break %50.8%70.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Agustina Soto Neira

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Fernanda Torres Gomez
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
14/07 Francesca Mattioli
W35 Sao Paulo
0-2 3-12 L
13/07 Luana Plaza
W35 Sao Paulo
2-1 9-7 W
08/07 Isabella Barrera Aguirre
W15 Rio Claro
1-2 10-13 L
07/07 Daniela Teodoro Souza
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Noelia Zeballos
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
22/06 Juliana Rodriguez
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W15 Luque · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
15/06 Ana Julieta Lopez Ocampos
W15 Luque · ~Clay
1-2 10-9 L
03/06 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W15 Brasilia
0-2 2-12 L

Mika Buchnik

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Kallista Liu
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
25/07 Misa Malkin
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-1 17-12 W
24/07 Fernanda Torres Gomez
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Isabella Foshee
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Isabella Kruger
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
16/07 Elena Jamshidi
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 10-7 W
14/07 Nelise Verster
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
09/07 Isabella Kruger
W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Ashmitha Easwaramurthi
W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
03/07 Marilouise Van Zyl
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Agustina Soto Neira vs Mika Buchnik?

Our model gives 77% to Mika Buchnik, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.