Tennis · WTA Washington · 29/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ashlyn Krueger vs Naomi Osaka
Team pages: Ashlyn Krueger · Naomi Osaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashlyn Krueger
Naomi Osaka
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Ashlyn Krueger
7-3 (W-L)
Naomi Osaka
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ashlyn Krueger
1–0
Naomi Osaka
(1 last)
- 12 Aug2-1 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashlyn Krueger 1616 · Naomi Osaka 1594
| Ashlyn Krueger | Naomi Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Naomi Osaka dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 56.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Ashlyn Krueger 1–0 Naomi Osaka (1).
- Note: Ashlyn Krueger makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Ashlyn Krueger | Naomi Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 89% (9) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.5 | 11.6-7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Ashlyn Krueger 1 – 0 Naomi Osaka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashlyn Krueger 1–0 Naomi Osaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/24 WTA Cincinnati | 2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashlyn Krueger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Katie Boulter WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/06 | Donna Vekic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Mai Hontama Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Gabriela Knutson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Naomi Osaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Daria Kasatkina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Elsa Jacquemot Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashlyn Krueger vs Naomi Osaka?
Our model gives 62% to Naomi Osaka, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.