Tennis · W35 Pergamino · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Maria Florencia Urrutia
Team pages: Natalia Sousa Salazar · Maria Florencia Urrutia
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Natalia Sousa Salazar
2-8 (W-L)
Maria Florencia Urrutia
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Natalia Sousa Salazar
0–2
Maria Florencia Urrutia
(2 last)
- 20 Feb1-2 10-15L
- 12 Feb0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalia Sousa Salazar 1466 · Maria Florencia Urrutia 1514
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Florencia Urrutia (rating 1466 vs 1514).
- Head-to-head: Natalia Sousa Salazar 0–2 Maria Florencia Urrutia (2).
Statistics
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-12.2 | 11.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 52% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 48% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Natalia Sousa Salazar 0 – 2 Maria Florencia Urrutia (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Natalia Sousa Salazar 0–2 Maria Florencia Urrutia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/25 UTR Pro Tigre Women | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/02/25 UTR Pro Tigre Women | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalia Sousa Salazar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Joody Elkady W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Lois Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lauren Seye W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Lois Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Emma Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Maria Florencia Urrutia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Laura Pigossi W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Kailey Evans W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Our model gives 76% to Maria Florencia Urrutia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.