Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 28/07, 15:00

Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Jose Pereira

Team pages: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · Jose Pereira

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jose Pereira
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWWL
Jose Pereira 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWWL
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 2–0 Jose Pereira (2 last)
  • 24 Jul2-0 12-6W
  • 06 May2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1584 · Jose Pereira 1511
Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezJose Pereira
Our model60%40%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (rating 1584 vs 1511).
  • Head-to-head: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 2–0 Jose Pereira (2).

Statistics

Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezJose Pereira
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11.3-8.611.8-11.2
Aces1.61.9
Double faults21.3
1st serve %69.9%63.6%
Break %48%43.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

H2H · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 20 Jose Pereira (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 20 Jose Pereira

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DateSetsGamesRes.
24/07/26
M25 Sao Paulo
2-012-6W
06/05/26
Challenger Santos
2-013-8W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 10-13 L
24/07 Jose Pereira
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Nicolas Zanellato
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-4 W
22/07 Maximo Zeitune
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 16-16 W
19/07 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 4-12 L
18/07 Thiago Cigarran
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 13-9 W
17/07 Fermin Tenti
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Aditya Balsekar
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-3 W
07/07 Lucas Andrade da Silva
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Jose Pereira

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/07 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 6-12 L
23/07 Murkel Dellien
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 13-9 W
21/07 Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 16-14 W
20/05 Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
06/05 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
07/04 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Campinas · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
06/04 Natan Rodrigues
Challenger Campinas · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/04 Wilson Leite
Challenger Campinas · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/03 Nicolas Zanellato
Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
24/03 Tomas Barrios Vera
Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Jose Pereira?

Our model gives 68% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.