Tennis · W75 Lexington · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Victoria Osuigwe vs Carolina Gomez
Team pages: Victoria Osuigwe · Carolina Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Victoria Osuigwe
Carolina Gomez
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Osuigwe
4-6 (W-L)
Carolina Gomez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victoria Osuigwe 1477 · Carolina Gomez 1541
| Victoria Osuigwe | Carolina Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Gomez (rating 1477 vs 1541).
- Carolina Gomez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Victoria Osuigwe makes many double faults (8.4/match).
- Note: Carolina Gomez makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Victoria Osuigwe | Carolina Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.8 | 11.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 8.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoria Osuigwe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Reina Goto W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Malwina Rowinska W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Momoko Kobori W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Malwina Rowinska UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lillian Santos UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Chelsea Casapu UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Lina Glushko W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Carolina Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Katie Lankford W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Annika Penickova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Madison Rose W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Madison Brengle W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Maria Kononova W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/11 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/11 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/11 | Sara Borkop UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoria Osuigwe vs Carolina Gomez?
Our model gives 51% to Carolina Gomez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.