Tennis · W75 Lexington · 28/07, 16:30
Prediction: Alina Shcherbinina vs Tori Kinard
Team pages: Alina Shcherbinina · Tori Kinard
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Shcherbinina
Tori Kinard
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Shcherbinina
7-3 (W-L)
Tori Kinard
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Shcherbinina 1643 · Tori Kinard 1417
| Alina Shcherbinina | Tori Kinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Shcherbinina (rating 1643 vs 1417).
- Alina Shcherbinina is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Alina Shcherbinina | Tori Kinard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-7.8 | 8.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 58.6% | 30.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Shcherbinina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Hanna Chang W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Dana Guzman W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Kira Matushkina W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/07 | Alyssa Ahn W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Vesa Gjinaj W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kingsley Wolf W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Tori Kinard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Ellie Myers W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Azusa Ishii W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 17/06 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Cherry Kim W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Aishi Das W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ho Ching Wu W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Kurumi Tamura W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 17/02 | Kelly Keller W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Dalayna Hewitt W100 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Shcherbinina vs Tori Kinard?
Our model gives 83% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.