Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 28/07, 16:00

Prediction: Rafael Tosetto vs Ryan Augusto Dos Santos

Team pages: Rafael Tosetto

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Rafael Tosetto Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Tosetto 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWLWLWL
Ryan Augusto Dos Santos 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLLLWL
Head-to-head
Rafael Tosetto 2–0 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos (2 last)
  • 25 Apr2-1 19-13W
  • 02 Jan2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rafael Tosetto 1471 · Ryan Augusto Dos Santos 1502
Rafael TosettoRyan Augusto Dos Santos
Our model46%54%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Rafael Tosetto 2–0 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos (2).
  • Note: Rafael Tosetto makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Rafael TosettoRyan Augusto Dos Santos
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.3-1.1
Games (G-P)10.7-10.312.8-11.9
Aces2.14.5
Double faults42.7
1st serve %65.4%71.2%
Break %41%46.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

H2H · Rafael Tosetto 20 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rafael Tosetto 20 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos

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DateSetsGamesRes.
25/04/23
ITF M15 Mogi das Cruzes
2-119-13W
02/01/23
UTR Pro Rio de Janeiro
2-013-10W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rafael Tosetto

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Matias Soto
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 7-12 L
22/07 Gustavo Albieri
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Wilson Leite
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
21/06 Andre Souza
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Brasilia
0-2 5-12 L
10/06 Luiz Gusavo Felisberto
M15 Brasilia
2-1 18-11 W
03/06 Gonzalo Villanueva
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
21/05 Herman Hoeyeraal
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
20/05 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
13/05 Mateus Alves
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Ryan Augusto Dos Santos

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Kaue Noatto
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 7-12 L
20/07 Andre Souza
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Brasilia
1-2 17-18 L
08/06 Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior
M15 Brasilia
2-1 13-13 W
02/06 Carlos Maria Zarate
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
1-2 16-17 L
01/06 Felipe Garla
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/05 Mateus Alves
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
1-2 16-14 L
20/05 Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
18/05 Kaue Noatto
M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
12/05 Victor Alvares De Castro Rocha
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rafael Tosetto vs Ryan Augusto Dos Santos?

Our model gives 57% to Rafael Tosetto, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.