Tennis · M15 Sao Paulo · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Bastian Malla vs Bautista De La Pena
Team pages: Bastian Malla · Bautista De La Pena
Prediction summary
Winner
Bastian Malla
Bautista De La Pena
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Bastian Malla
7-3 (W-L)
Bautista De La Pena
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bastian Malla 1533 · Bautista De La Pena 1443
| Bastian Malla | Bautista De La Pena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bastian Malla (rating 1533 vs 1443).
- Bastian Malla is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Bastian Malla | Bautista De La Pena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8 | 6.2-11 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 58% |
| Break % | 49% | 33.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bastian Malla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Kaue Noatto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Martin A Vergara Del Puerto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 23/04 | Joao Goncalves M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Gavin Goode M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Bautista De La Pena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Santiago Pesino M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Joao Ogando Monteiro Machado M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Luis Jose Nakamine M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Vitor Costa Goncalves M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bastian Malla vs Bautista De La Pena?
Our model gives 76% to Bastian Malla, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.