Tennis · M15 Xativa · 29/07, 09:00
Prediction: Sergi Fita Juan vs Bernardo Munk Mesa
Team pages: Sergi Fita Juan · Bernardo Munk Mesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergi Fita Juan
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Fita Juan
4-6 (W-L)
Bernardo Munk Mesa
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Fita Juan 1507 · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1459
| Sergi Fita Juan | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergi Fita Juan (rating 1507 vs 1459).
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Sergi Fita Juan | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.5 | 11.9-13.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Fita Juan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Charles Chen M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Iker Gaztambide Arrastia M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Mikel Martinez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/02 | Timofey Stepanov UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/02 | Jordan Chiu UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Fita Juan vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?
Our model gives 56% to Sergi Fita Juan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.